Alibaba Group Holding Stock Performance
| BABA Stock | USD 125.49 -0.57 -0.45% |
The company maintains a Beta of 1.39, which signifies elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. Alibaba Group tends to amplify market moves - gaining more in rallies but giving back more during declines. At this point, Alibaba Group Holding has a negative expected return of -0.26%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
For the recent 90-day horizon, Alibaba Group Holding failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. Current market capitalization is about 292.24 Billion. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the stock's fundamental drivers remain somewhat strong, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company's investors. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3 | Five Day Return -8.93 | Year To Date Return -19.04 | Ten Year Return 64.68 | All Time Return 34.28 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0086 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 1.05 | Dividend Date 2025-07-10 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-06-12 |
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| Begin Period Cash Flow | 282.1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -206.6 B |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 15,006 in Alibaba Group Holding on December 24, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 2,457 from holding Alibaba Group Holding or given up 16.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alibaba Group Holding does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.7534% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Alibaba, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
One of the most enduring patterns in stock markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward averages. This mean-reverting tendency has been a useful forecasting tool, though some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings. The speed of convergence varies because some stocks carry risk factors not immediately reflected in price.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 125.49 | 90 days | 125.49 | about 97.0 |
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of Alibaba Group moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 97.0 . That suggests recent trading behavior has favored stronger upside scenarios over this horizon. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for Alibaba Stock over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for Alibaba Stock.
Alibaba Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alibaba Group
For Alibaba Group Holding, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future stock price direction. No method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for Alibaba Group Holding price behavior.Mean reversion analysis in Alibaba Group's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Alibaba Group is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals.
Primary Risk Indicators
The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in Alibaba Group. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in Alibaba Group Holding. A disciplined approach to monitoring Alibaba Group's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1367 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0614 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Monitoring Alibaba Group alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Alibaba Group Holding helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for Alibaba Group allow investors to focus on the signals most relevant to their strategy.| Alibaba Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alibaba Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Alibaba Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AI and Cloud Business Robust Growth Offsets Alibaba Group Holding Limited Net Loss Jump |
Price Density Drivers
The price of Alibaba Stock is driven by buyer and seller positioning dynamics along with broader market trends. Because market risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Understanding Alibaba Group's price drivers helps determine whether movements reflect underlying changes or positioning shifts.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 464.8 B |
Alibaba Group Fundamentals Growth
Alibaba Group's financial fundamentals are the foundation of Alibaba Stock market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward Alibaba Stock. Alibaba Stock market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Alibaba Group's financial fundamentals.
| Return On Equity | 0.0823 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0313 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 290.67 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.39 B | |||
| Price To Earning | 112.48 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.93 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.29 X | |||
| Revenue | 996.35 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 414.37 B | |||
| EBITDA | 182.67 B | |||
| Net Income | 130.51 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 145.49 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 185.57 X | |||
| Total Debt | 248.49 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.18 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 65.04 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 164.82 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.63 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 292.24 B | |||
| Total Asset | 1.81 T | |||
| Retained Earnings | 646.47 B | |||
| Working Capital | 238.7 B | |||
| Current Asset | 134.07 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 52.04 B | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Alibaba Group performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Past price movements indicate comparatively limited downside dispersion. Alibaba Group shows ROE of 8.23%, ROA of 3.13%.
Data shown for Alibaba Group Holding is aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in. Source publication timing can introduce delays. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.